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Hiring activity was stronger than expected in the US private sector last month, according to payroll processor ADP’s latest employment estimates. Employers added 192,000 jobs in April, down from March's job gains, (which were upwardly revised by 24,000 to 208,000 jobs) according to ADP’s national employment report released Wednesday. However, economists were anticipating a net gain of 175,000 jobs, according to FactSet consensus estimates. While job growth has accelerated to start the year, wage gains are showing a continued moderation, according to the report. While ADP’s tabulations don’t always correlate with the official federal jobs report — which is due out Friday — it’s sometimes viewed as a proxy for overall hiring activity.

Persons: tabulations, it’s

☆ The spring homebuying season isn’t what it used to be, thanks to the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

All that has caused the spring homebuying season to take a timeout — and could spell trouble for the remainder of the year. Since 1999, more than a third of home sales for the entire year occur between March and June on average, according to Freddie Mac data. Given the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates, Khater expects mortgage rates to remain elevated for longer. Taken together, all these factors will likely put upward pressure on home prices, Khater and his team said in the report. “Our outlook does depend on mortgage rates, which are creating their own seasonality,” she added.

Persons: That’s, ” Zillow, Nicole Bachaud, “ Buyers, Bachaud, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac, Khater, ” Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CNN, “, Fed Locations: New York, Texas, Florida

☆ Fears about stagflation are mounting in the US. It’s every central banker’s worst nightmare
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

And economists are forecasting new inflation data due Friday will paint a similar picture. The GDP report gave another preview of what could come. Slowing economic growth combined with rising inflation is known as stagflation. To be fair, one GDP report isn’t necessarily indicative of a trend. He repeated that message in a Wall Street Journal interview published Thursday before the GDP report was released.

Persons: there’s, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, we’ve, ”, —, ” Dimon, Mike Reynolds Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Economic, of New Locations: New York, Germany, Israel, of New York

☆ Trump Media warns Nasdaq of suspected market manipulation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

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☆ Three takeaways from the Columbia University president’s testimony on antisemitism
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Matt Egan | Ramishah Maruf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Columbia University President Minouche Shafik tried to avoid the firestorm of controversy that pushed out two of the three university presidents who testified on Capitol Hill in December. While the other university presidents provided lawyerly answers that went viral, Shafik and her three Columbia colleagues all unequivocally stated that such calls would violate the code of conduct at Columbia. For instance, the Columbia president was asked by Rep. Lisa McClain whether mobs shouting “from the river to the sea” or “long live the intifada” qualify as antisemitic comments. Some people don’t.”Only after David Schizer, the co-chair of Columbia’s task force on antisemitism, indicated it would qualify as antisemitism did Shafik agree. Davidai called Shafik a “coward” in a fiery speech last year criticizing the university president for failing to quiet “pro-terror” voices at the school.

Persons: Minouche Shafik, Shafik, Shafik waffled, Lisa McClain, McClain, “, David Schizer, ” Shafik, Joseph Massad, Tim Walberg, Massad, Mohamed Abdou, Shai Davidai, Davidai, ”, Abdou, Eden Yadegar, CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: New, New York CNN, Ivy League, Columbia University, Harvard, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, University of Pennsylvania, Columbia, ”, CNN, Columbia Business School Locations: New York, Columbia

☆ Professor who Columbia president said was ‘spoken to’ for calling Hamas invasion ‘astounding’ says he wasn’t disciplined
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

A university spokesperson confirmed that Massad was under investigation for allegedly making discriminatory remarks, as Shafik noted in her Wednesday testimony. Massad told CNN the investigation was “news” to him and he was not aware of it prior to Wednesday. The department chair did not respond, while the dean, Amy Hungerford, referred the inquiry to a university spokesperson who did not offer any comment. “Professor Massad has chaired his final meeting of the academic review committee,” a different Columbia spokesperson told CNN. Columbia Business School assistant professor Shai Davidai, who Shafik said was under investigation for harassment, told CNN that he has never spoken against students by name, only “pro-Hamas” student organizations and professors.

Persons: Minouche Shafik’s, Joseph Massad’s, Massad, ” Shafik, ”, Shafik, ” Massad, “, Amy Hungerford, Elise Stefanik, Mohamed Abdou, Shai Davidai Organizations: New, New York CNN — Columbia University, CNN, Columbia, Education, Workforce, African Studies, of Arts and Sciences, Republican, Arts and Sciences, Columbia Business School Locations: New York, Gaza, Israel, Middle Eastern, Columbia

☆ Here’s what would happen to the US economy if there are no rate cuts this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

That’s why Fed Chair Powell conveyed on Tuesday the central bank won’t be cutting interest rates any time soon. How would the US economy handle more months of painstakingly high interest rates? Investors are banking on cutsWhen Fed officials initially penciled in three rate cuts at the end of last year, markets hit new highs. But the longer the Fed leaves interest rates higher means more pain could be inflicted on households and businesses, said Goldstein. But not everyone thinks cracks in the economy will widen if the Fed doesn’t cut rates this year.

Persons: Powell, ” Powell, paring, Itay Goldstein, Tesla, Goldstein, ”, Brian Rose, David Mericle, Goldman Sachs Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada, Tiff, Investors, Dow, Nasdaq, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, CNN, Fed, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: New York

☆ Did your car insurance rate go up a lot even though you don’t drive much?
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

New York CNN —Drivers nationwide are facing the biggest car insurance rate increases since 1976. Up more than 22% compared to last year, rising car insurance rates are one of the biggest contributors to overall inflation, which hit a new six-month high last month, according to the Consumer Price Index. Car insurers are raising rates higher for a number of reasons. For instance, the cost of repairing cars has gone up as car parts have become increasingly more expensive. But if you don’t drive a lot, you may be wondering why you’re being subjected to such high rates given insurers typically base rates off of how much you drive, among other factors.

Organizations: New, New York CNN — Drivers, Consumer Locations: New York

☆ The Fed might not be done raising interest rates just yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Inflation slowed substantially in 2023 as the Fed lifted rates to nearly a quarter-century high and held them at that level since July. Still, most Fed officials have signaled that they plan to cut rates this year if the economy evolves as expected. And if the inflation situation worsens even further, the Fed may even have to consider raising rates. Like Bowman and Kashkari, New York Fed President John Williams said rate hikes aren’t part of his baseline outlook. The timing of that first rate cut is critical because if the Fed cuts too soon, it risks locking in inflation at a high level.

Persons: hasn’t, Michelle Bowman, Neel Kashkari, Bowman, John Williams, he’s, ” Williams, Williams, Jerome Powell, Susan Collins, ” Collins, Powell, Larry Summers, ” Summers, Summers, Goldman Sachs, ” Organizations: CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, ” Minneapolis, Kashkari , New York Fed, Boston, CPI, Bloomberg, UBS, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: Kashkari , New

☆ Bad news for Biden (and all Americans): Inflation is creeping higher at the worst time
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

But, if you’re President Joe Biden, now is a particularly bad time for inflation to reaccelerate. On the other hand, bad economic data, especially regarding inflation, almost certainly guarantees people aren’t going to be feeling better about the economy. Significant progress over the past two years in getting inflation down from multi-decade highs has been of little help to struggling Americans. “We have more to do to lower costs for hardworking families,” he said. The shelter index, a broader component of the inflation report that covers a majority of housing expenses, is up 5.7% year-over-year.

Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN — There’s, Joe Biden, Biden, hasn’t, Ron Klain, ”, Ian Maule, he’s, CNN Biden, “ Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Labor, Politico, Biden, Center, CNN, Republican Locations: New York, Las Vegas , Nevada

☆ With inflation stalling, the long-predicted storm clouds in the economy may actually be forming
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —Jamie Dimon warned two years ago that storm clouds and a hurricane were brewing in the US economy. On top of that, the unemployment rate has stayed below 4% for more than two years despite 11 rate hikes intended to slow the economy in an effort to curb decades-high inflation. But potentially persistent inflation isn’t the only red flag in the economy right now. Small-business owners haven’t felt this bad about the economy in over a decadeAlthough the economy is booming by many measures, including last month’s blowout jobs report, small business owners aren’t feeling gung-ho about it. That’s significant because that cohort is experiencing an even lower unemployment rate than the nation overall.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Michelle Bowman, she’s, Bowman, ” Bowman, haven’t, Holly Wade, Bill Dunkelberg, aren’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, FactSet, National Federation of Independent, York Locations: New York

☆ Every month, economists expect the labor market to slow. Will it ever?
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Almost every month, economists expect the hot US labor market to start showing signs of exhaustion. The booming labor market has to run out of gas eventually, right? Enjoy it while it lastsHistorically speaking, there’s only so long a really good labor market can last until, for instance, a recession or tighter financial conditions disrupt it. Taken together, that could mean the life expectancy of the current labor market isn’t very long. One big reason why the labor market continues to defy expectations is the result of a surge in immigration over the past year.

Persons: February’s, Jefferies, Thomas Simons “, ” “, Simons, Will Baltrus, That’s, ” Dante DeAntonio Organizations: New, New York CNN, Conference, Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Brookings, Moody’s Locations: New York

Stocks rallied Friday after the latest jobs report came in piping hot. The Dow rose 307 points, or 0.8%, after climbing more than 400 points at the day's highs. Still, all three major indexes ended the week lower, starting the second quarter of the year on a sour note. While the latest jobs report supports the idea that the US economy is holding strong against interest rates at a 23-year high and could avoid a recession, it also puts into question when the Federal Reserve will begin its long-awaited rate cuts. The US economy added 303,000 jobs last month, according to data released Friday by the Labor Department.

Persons: Stocks, Mike Sanders Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed, Madison Investments

☆ What to expect from the March jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

ET, when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its March jobs report. February brought the unemployment rate within spitting distance of 4%, rising to 3.9% from 3.7% in January. What could come from Friday’s jobs reportFebruary’s jobs report came as yet another surprise to economists. For instance, last month January’s job gains were revised down to 229,000 from the blowout 353,000 that kicked off 2024. The unemployment rate went up by half a percentage point from the post-pandemic low of 3.4% last April.

Persons: lockdowns, it’s, Michael Strain, ’, February’s, Andy Challenger, ”, Allison Joyce, Aaron Sojourner, they’ve, Sojourner, Luke Sharrett Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, American Enterprise Institute, BLS, Federal, US, Challenger, “, Department of Labor, Bloomberg, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, CNN, Federal Reserve, Getty Locations: New York, outplacement

☆ One of the largest FTX creditors is trying to recoup millions for victims
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Bruch is one of the largest individual FTX creditors and has been tapped by the US Department of Justice to serve as one of nine on the FTX Creditors’ Committee, where he is working to recoup the funds lost by customers. DOJ-appointed creditor committees ordinarily consist of people and companies who hold the seven largest unsecured claims against the debtor (in this case, FTX), according to the agency. Before the Bell spoke with Bruch about Sam Bankman-Fried, FTX, MyPrize and the future of crypto. I feel for all of the creditors and am doing everything I can to help recoup what was taken from us. I’ve worked at some of the largest crypto trading desks in the world and then also started trading my own book of capital and grew to become one of the largest individual crypto traders.

Persons: Sam Bankman, Fried, Zach Bruch, Bruch, MyPrize, Bell, Sam Bankman Fried, —, ”, Sam Bankman Fried’s, Bitcoin, I’ve, Elisabeth Buchwald, Jerome Powell wasn’t, ” Powell, Powell, Christopher Waller, Evan Gershkovich, Evan Gershkovich’s, Radina Gigova, Anna Chernova, Antonina Favorskaya, Alexey Navalny, Favorskaya, Gershkovich Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, US Department of Justice, ’, DOJ, Arrington Capital, Department of Justice, Federal, Commerce Department, San Francisco Fed, ” Fed, CNN, Wall Street Locations: New York, Russia, Yekaterinburg

☆ Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals rate cuts aren’t imminent
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-29 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

But the Fed is prepared to ignore Wall Street’s hope for a rate cut in June if it feels the economy isn’t ready yet. That’s the message Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered on Friday. Powell wasn’t fretting about it though, saying that it was “pretty much in line with our expectations.”Why wait to cut then? “This is an economy that doesn’t feel like it’s suffering from the current level of rates,” Powell said. Like Powell, several Fed officials have conveyed they’re more concerned about cutting too soon than prolonging the status quo.

Persons: Jerome Powell, “, ”, Powell, Powell wasn’t, there’s, ” Powell, Raphael Bostic, Powell’s, Donald Trump, he’s, Joe Biden —, Powell — Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Atlanta Fed, Republican Locations: New York

☆ US Inflation ticked higher last month, reversing some recent progress
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-29 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ The S&P 500 just turned in its best first quarter since 2019
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

The S&P 500 index rose 10.2% during the first three months of the year, its best first-quarter performance since 2019. The S&P 500 on Thursday logged its 22nd record-high close of the year. Companies in the S&P 500 saw earnings grow 4.3% during the fourth quarter of 2023 from the prior year, according to FactSet data. Analysts polled by FactSet expect S&P 500 earnings to grow by more than 10% for all of 2024. About 140,000 cars a day traversed the I-35W bridge that once stood more than 100 feet above the Mighty Mississippi.

Persons: Bell, Bitcoin, What’s, Leslie Thompson, Warren Buffett’s, Zachary Hill, ”, Elisabeth Buchwald, Samantha Delouya, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Disney’s, Bob Chapek, “ Don’t, ” Chapek, ” DeSantis, “ I’m, Read, Francis Scott Key, Alicia Wallace, ” Christopher Phelan, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New, New York CNN, Traders, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investment Research, Dow, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Spectrum Wealth Management, Companies, FactSet, Research, Horizon Investments, Disney, Central, Republican Gov, Central Florida Tourism, Twin, University of Minnesota, CNN Locations: New York, China, Florida, Central Florida, Central Florida Tourism District, Orlando, Baltimore, Minneapolis, Mississippi, Twin Cities, Mighty Mississippi, Minnesota

☆ DeSantis-Disney fight reaches settlement
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ Premarket stocks: Warren Buffett’s favorite indicator is flashing red
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —The “Buffett Indicator” is flashing red. If the stock market is growing a lot faster than the economy, that could be a sign of a bubble. Yes, but: The so-called Buffett Indicator is not without flaw. By the closing bell, Trump Media ended at $57.99, up by a more modest 16% on the day. He said Trump Media is likely worth somewhere around $2 a share — nowhere near its closing stock price of $58.

Persons: Warren Buffett, Fortune Magazine “, Berkshire Hathaway, John Hussman, Hussman, Larry Summers, “, ”, Louis Navellier, Goldman Sachs, Navellier, doesn’t, Buffett, they’re, Jamie Dimon, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, Elisabeth Buchwald, Donald Trump’s, CNN’s Matt Egan, Jay Ritter, Ritter Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Fortune Magazine, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Navellier, Associates, “, JPMorgan, CNBC, CNN, Visa, Mastercard, Court, Eastern, of, National Retail Federation, Trading, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media, University of Florida’s Warrington College of Business, GameStop, AMC Locations: New York, of New York

☆ Visa and Mastercard agreed to $30 billion settlement that will lower merchant fees
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ Fed officials are now considering fewer rate cuts this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

That’s because some Federal Reserve officials are reconsidering forecasts they made three months ago that called for three rate cuts this year. The stakes are high because there are consequences if the Fed cuts rates soon or if it leaves rates where they’ve been for the past eight months. First rate cut hinges on inflation dataIn February, Bostic told CNN that the first rate cut could come “sometime in the summertime.” That’s also Wall Street’s current expectation. He hasn’t specified — and is unlikely to signal — the number of rate cuts he believes are appropriate for this year. He has cheered inflation’s descent and said further improvement could open the door to rate cuts — if that actually bears out.

Persons: they’ve, Raphael Bostic, ” Bostic, Bostic, That’s, Powell hasn’t, Price, Nam, ” David Page, Powell, Rather, Jerome Powell, Chip Somodevilla, Lisa Cook, Austan Goolsbee, ”, we’ve, we’re, Goolsbee, Christopher Waller Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Index, AXA, Federal, ”, Harvard University, Chicago, Yahoo Finance, Fed, San Francisco Fed Locations: New York

☆ Truth Social owner Trump Media will begin trading Tuesday as the merger closes
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —Truth Social owner Trump Media & Technology Group announced Monday its merger with a publicly traded shell company has closed and trading will begin on the stock market on Tuesday. Trading of the new company under the ticker symbol “DJT” on the Nasdaq Stock Market is set to begin on Tuesday, the companies said. Shares of Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC), the shell company that now owns Truth Social, surged more than 20% on Monday. Experts warn that the market is overvaluing Trump Media given the company’s fundamentals. Trump Media generated just $3.4 million of revenue through the first nine months of last year, according to SEC filings.

Persons: Donald Trump, Devin Nunes, ”, ” Nunes, CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald, Krystal Hur Organizations: New, New York CNN, Truth, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media, Corp, Nasdaq, Digital, Trump, Big Tech, overvaluing Trump Media, SEC, Twitter, CNN, AMC Entertainment, GameStop Locations: New York

☆ Should you sell your home now or wait for the Realtor settlement this summer?
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

The settlement will eliminate the long-standing standard 6% commission paid by the seller, which could ultimately make it cheaper to sell your home post-settlement. The case for getting in on spring homebuying seasonThe settlement could present a major downside to homebuyers. Under the current system, the buyer’s agent’s commission is baked into the total they pay for a home. On top of that, they may be able to avoid having to pay the buyer’s agent’s commission. But in his view, the NAR settlement shouldn’t be a major consideration when it comes to timing.

Persons: it’s, Phil Crescenzo Jr, There’s, he’s, ” Mike Downer, Mike Downer, he’d Organizations: New, New York CNN, National Association of Realtors, Nation One Mortgage Corporation, Buyers, NAR, Coldwell Banker Locations: New York, Naples , Florida

☆ How Irish business is winning in the US: It’s not all butter and cheese
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Irish companies have to think about being in an Irish domestic market which is frankly, really small, or just going global straightaway. The US is particularly strong for Irish companies; the US economy has held up well. I think Irish companies are very adept at pivoting into what other other countries need and being part of the story. It seems like Irish companies are increasingly becoming job creators in the US. Glanbia Foods, an Irish company that manufactures American-style cheese, now produces one in four slices of cheese consumed in the US.

Persons: Bell, Leo Clancy, Joe Biden, we’ve, it’s, that’s, That’s, We’re, It’s, We’ve, Tesla, Elon Musk’s Tesla, Wells, Colin Langan, ” Langan, Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, European Union and International Monetary Fund, Enterprise Ireland, Patrick’s, Entrepreneurship, Federal Reserve, Companies, UBS, Tesla, NAR, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York, Ireland, United States, Jefferson , Wisconsin, America, Irish, Europe, Washington, We’re, automaking, Wells Fargo

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